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Bitcoin Slips as May US PPI Climbs to 6.5%, Highest Since Nov 2022
Bitcoin pared earlier gains after hotter-than-expected U.S. producer inflation data for May reinforced sensitivity to inflation surprises and the prospect of "higher for longer" Federal Reserve policy.
BTC rebounded to around $63,150 before easing back toward $62,800 following the release. The May Producer Price Index (PPI) showed headline producer inflation rising to 6.5%, above the 6.4% consensus and the highest reading since November 2022. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, printed 4.9%, matching April's revised level.
Wholesale prices rose 1.1% in May, the same as April's revised 1.1% gain, marking back-to-back monthly increases that imply a faster annualized pace. The headline acceleration drew the most attention, with some analysts noting producer inflation is approaching pandemic-stimulus-era levels. Rate-hike expectations also firmed after the report.
Bitcoin's move was comparatively contained versus earlier macro-driven selloffs. BTC initially dipped about 0.5% and later stabilized around $62,800, suggesting part of the inflation risk had already been absorbed following the prior CPI report.
Tighter policy expectations can weigh on Bitcoin by reducing liquidity and making risk assets less attractive relative to cash and bonds. While the headline PPI came in hotter, the steadier core reading points to energy-related pressures as a key driver, with broader price pass-through potentially being partly offset by corporate margins.
Market pricing shifted after the data. Polymarket showed the implied odds of a Fed rate hike in 2026 rising to nearly 51% following the PPI release, a notable contrast with earlier-year positioning that leaned more heavily toward eventual rate cuts.
Technically, Bitcoin remains range-bound, with resistance near $63,000 and support around $61,000. Traders are monitoring a symmetrical triangle formation; an hourly close above $63,000 could target liquidity between $64,000 and $66,500, where short positions may be vulnerable. A break below $61,000 would refocus attention on the $58,000 to $60,000 zone, where long-side liquidity is concentrated.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs also saw outflows, posting total net withdrawals of $214 million. Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) recorded the largest single-day net inflow at $17.5167 million, though overall flows remained negative.
The next leg may hinge on whether BTC can hold above $62,000 after the PPI-driven pullback. A sustained move back above $63,000 would bolster near-term momentum, while failure to defend $61,000 would bring the $60,000 support area back into focus.