Trader BitBull says Bitcoin's weekly RSI broke its downtrend in December, pointing to a potential move to $103K–$105K within three to four weeks. James Easton notes the two‑week RSI has flipped bullish at levels below late‑2022, while Skew flags a passive seller near $91,500 as BTC attempts to hold $90,000 support.

On January 9, 2026, Metaplanet director and COO Yoshimi Abe outlined four events that could shape Bitcoin's price: a U.S. crypto bill vote on Jan. 15, ongoing U.S. hearings, the EU's crypto transfer tax reporting active from Jan. 1, and a Florida bill effective July 1 if passed. Metaplanet bought 4,279 BTC to reach 35,102, while Strategy added 1,287 BTC for a 673,783 total.

In a report released Thursday, investment manager VanEck argued that avoiding Bitcoin entirely now poses a greater mathematical risk to portfolios than the asset's historic volatility. The firm's base model projects Bitcoin could reach $2.9 million by 2050, assuming central banks allocate 2.5% of reserves and suggesting a 1–3% Bitcoin weighting optimizes the Sharpe Ratio in traditional 60/40 portfolios.

Crypto market analyst Roman has outlined a bearish short‑term outlook for Bitcoin, arguing that the market structure remains weak and could send the price toward about $76,000, roughly 20% below current levels. He points to failed attempts to break above resistance near $96,000, low trading volumes on recent rebounds, and still‑bearish daily indicators such as MACD and RSI as key reasons for expecting another leg down. Roman believes any upside moves should still be viewed as corrective until clear signs of a trend reversal emerge.

Bitcoin's 3-day MACD has fallen to its lowest level on record, while the BTC price trades around $90,000 after a sharp slide from highs near $126,000 in October 2025. Analysts highlight key levels at $92,000 on the upside and $87,200 on the downside, with a potential decline toward $69,230 if support fails. The market is described as a neutral, range-bound phase with short-term caution but an intact longer-term structure.

Bitcoin hovered around $90,328 as traders focused on a potential U.S. Supreme Court ruling on the legality of former President Donald Trump's tariffs that could put $133B–$150B at issue. With macro uncertainty elevated, on‑chain gauges such as SOPR and exchange inflows suggest fragile momentum and the prospect of short‑term volatility across crypto.

On December 11, 2025, South Korea's Supreme Court ruled that Bitcoin held on centralized exchanges can be seized in criminal proceedings, citing a 55.6 BTC case. The decision establishes a legal precedent for virtual assets and is expected to influence procedures on platforms such as Upbit and Bithumb.

Bitcoin is nearing the $100,000 price region, where several long-term indicators converge into what analysts view as a pivotal structural zone for the trend. Metrics such as short-term holder realized price, major moving averages, and the MVRV ratio suggest cooling momentum unless price can reclaim and hold above this cluster. A rebound toward $100,000 remains possible, but without decisive confirmation above these levels, the risk of rejection and continued downside remains elevated.