Kalshi traders put 80% odds on bitcoin staying below $100,000 through 2026

Traders on prediction market Kalshi are pricing just a 19% to 22% chance that bitcoin crosses $100,000 before January 2027, with more than $10 million wagered on timing contracts tied to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index. Bitcoin was trading near $64,600 as of Monday, June 22, 2026. The contracts imply the market expects bitcoin to remain below the $100,000 level through 2026.