Technical Analysis

Analyst Ali Martinez reports Dogecoin whale transfers above $1 million fell 94.6% in the past month, dropping from 109 to 6. With DOGE trading near $0.09 and sentiment subdued, market watcher KrissPax warns the asset could stagnate without a fresh catalyst, noting possible pullbacks in June, August, and September 2026.

Market analyst EGRAG CRYPTO outlines XRP's trajectory using logarithmic regression-style channels, identifying a structural target at $4.5 with an 80–90% probability if the current setup persists. On-chain data from Santiment shows Extreme Fear, while XRP trades at $1.42; longer-term scenarios point to $10, $27, or even $200 if $4.50 is cleared.

Bitcoin fell more than 40% over the past month to a year-to-date low of $59,930 on Friday, over 50% below its October 2025 peak near $126,200. Analysts highlight leveraged Hong Kong options trades tied to IBIT, banks’ structured-note hedging, and miner cost lines around $58,160–$72,700 as factors that could pressure price near $60,000.

Dogecoin is trading around $0.09691 after climbing from an intraday low of $0.09308, with a 24-hour gain of 3.94% and price indicators showing oversold conditions. Bollinger Bands and an RSI near 33 suggest bearish momentum may be fading, with upside targets between $0.11 and $0.15 and some long-term optimists eyeing $0.30. Market-wide volatility, Bitcoin's struggle below $70,000 and historical February weakness could still weigh on DOGE, though occasional boosts from positive sentiment such as comments by Elon Musk remain influential.

Shiba Inu recovered from channel lows at $0.000005600 and is stabilizing near $0.000006200. On-chain positioning shows large wallets steady rather than adding, while liquidation clusters sit at $0.00000610–$0.00000625 on the upside and near $0.00000570–$0.00000540 below. Without a decisive break above $0.000006200, gains may remain range-bound.

In the first week of February 2026, Bitcoin fell below the $60K mark and drove sentiment into extreme fear as analysts turned broadly bearish. Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer still described $65K as an appealing buy zone, even as ETF flows shifted toward gold and silver and Bitwise warned that ETF dynamics could prolong the drawdown. Options data showed negative skew easing but remaining below zero, signaling that traders continued to favor protective puts over bullish calls.

Bitcoin fell back below $69,000 at the start of the weekend after testing levels above its 2021 peak, with some analysts arguing that a macro bottom has not yet formed. Others are focusing on CME Bitcoin futures gaps, including one around $84,000, as potential upside targets in a broader relief move.

Ripple's XRP fell from the $3.00 area in late September to the $2.00 demand zone as the OI‑weighted funding rate turned negative. Whale activity rose with 1,389 transactions above $100,000 and 78,727 active addresses in eight hours, while November's XRP ETFs reached $1 billion AUM. These shifts support a recovery toward $2.80–$3.00.

Prediction markets indicate Bitcoin is most likely to end February 2026 near $75,000, with a 54% implied probability and a tilt toward consolidation rather than a breakout. Downside paths to $60,000 and $55,000 are priced at 42% and 23%, while outcomes above $100,000 carry single-digit odds. After a sharp sell-off and a rebound above $70,000, BTC recently traded around $68,314.

Provisional Google Trends data show worldwide searches for Bitcoin reached a score of 100 in the week beginning Feb. 1, the highest in 12 months. The move followed a slide from about $81,500 on Feb. 1 to roughly $60,000 within five days, before a rebound to around $67,800. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 6, indicating extreme fear.