Technical Analysis

Bitcoin is hovering near its lowest levels since late 2024, and analyst Rekt Capital argues the market may still be in a bottoming process that could take additional months. He compares the current drawdown and time-in-correction with prior cycles, pointing to a ~240-day pullback so far and the possibility of another leg down of up to 20% before a final low forms.

Bitcoin is retesting a key demand area after a bearish break from a symmetrical triangle, leaving price action at a pivotal point. Traders cited in the report focus on $60,700–$58,900 as a potential rebound zone and $60,800 as a must-hold level, with $62,400, $61,800, 63,000 and $55,500 also highlighted as key markers.

Bitcoin (BTC) has remained range-bound between $59,000 and $63,000, with rebound momentum still limited. The BTC market-cap-to-global M2 ratio stands at 0.94%, and the analysis suggests it may need to drop further into prior bottom zones before a durable recovery forms. Meanwhile, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen $5.568 billion in outflows since May 15, alongside a Coinbase Premium Index reading of -0.07 and rising exchange reserves.

Solana (SOL) dropped to around $60 earlier this month and was trading near $63 at the time of writing, down 33% on the month with market cap below $40 billion. The TD Sequential indicator has printed a buy signal and is being interpreted as room for a move toward $77, while the daily RSI reportedly fell to about 15—an extreme oversold reading that some view as setting up a rebound.

Bitcoin (BTC) traded below $62,000 near $61,754.56 as demand indicators weakened, with a 30-day combined spot and perpetual futures demand growth reading of -650,000 BTC. The report notes BTC fell 8% this week after a 14% drop last week, putting monthly performance at -24%. Analysts highlighted $62,800 (200-week SMA) as overhead resistance and $65,000 as a key level to reclaim.

Analysts CrediBULL Crypto and Bobby A said Ethereum (ETH) currently looks like the stronger short-term trade, while XRP could become the better near-term pick if the XRP/ETH ratio falls about 30% to a midrange level. At press time, ETH traded just above $1,600 (down 3% in 24 hours and 31% over 30 days) while XRP hovered around $1.11 (down 5% on the day and nearly 24% in the past month). They also outlined key levels including ETH ranges near $1,550–$1,650, a downside line near $1,380, and potential upside toward $2,500–$2,600, while XRP bulls watched $1.66–$2.00 for a possible breakout.

Shiba Inu's exchange-held supply has slipped to about 80.03 trillion SHIB, leaving the closely watched 80 trillion level within reach. Over the past day, reserves fell another 0.06% and netflow stayed negative at roughly -51.47 billion SHIB, while SHIB trades below key moving averages and RSI sits near 25.

Bitcoin traded near $61,100 on Wednesday, down 3% in 24 hours and 6.9% on the week, as a stronger May U.S. jobs report pushed expectations for higher rates and triggered broad risk-off selling. Gold also fell 2% to below $4,200 per ounce, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.54% and markets priced a 75.5% chance of rate hikes before year-end. The report showed 172,000 non-farm payrolls versus a 130,000 consensus estimate, with April revised up to 214,000.

Bitcoin has recently dropped below $60,000 to a new cycle low, reviving debate over whether the market is near a bottom. Grayscale says on-chain signals suggest BTC is technically undervalued, though not at the extreme discounts seen in past crash periods. The firm also flags the CLARITY Act's progress and leverage conditions as key factors that could shape near-term sentiment and liquidation risk.

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