Trading

On December 29, analyst Ali Martinez warned that XRP could soon lose its $1.77 support, with a further slide potentially endangering the critical $1 mark. XRP is currently trading around $1.88, while selling pressure, weaker network activity, and large whale transfers are heightening downside risks.

On December 29, 2025, CryptoQuant said crypto derivatives Open Interest jumped by $2.4 billion in December even as trading activity fell 40%. Bitcoin OI rose from $22 billion to $23 billion and Ethereum from $13 billion to $15 billion, with BTC near $88,000 and the Fear Index at 37.

Toncoin is testing the $1.705 resistance after recent gains. A daily gap near $1.57 and overbought Stochastic RSI flag a possible pause, while Open Interest climbed 7.27% to 103 million and the Long/Short Ratio is 2.976. A firm move above $1.705 would strengthen the bullish structure.

Analyst Plan C, creator of the Bitcoin Quantile Model, has shared a new chart pack arguing that treating the current Bitcoin bull market as a repeat of past cycles could be a major error while BTC trades around $87,661. His framework highlights weak PMI-style business-cycle signals, persistent demand for hard assets such as gold, and quantile-based price bands that map potential paths between roughly $80,000 and $253,000 over 3-month and 1-year horizons. The charts also track Bitcoin’s performance versus gold and frame three macro regimes that could shape price action into 2026.

Following a late-2025 sell-off, Zcash (ZEC), Monero (XMR) and OKB still closed the year with large YTD gains. ZEC rallied roughly +800% with an October spike over 400%; XMR added about 129% after April catalyst flows; OKB gained 115% on an August burn plan and X Layer upgrades.

Shiba Inu's exchange reserves have fallen to about 81.2 trillion tokens as of December 28, the lowest level since April 2021, while its price trades near $0.000007478 after a sharp yearly decline. The reduced exchange supply is seen by some market participants as a potential catalyst for a short-term rebound, even as burn activity slows and concerns over Shibarium's stalled development keep bearish pressure in play.

Global macro analyst Luke Gromen reiterated in December 2025 that he remains bullish on currency debasement but is reducing near‑term Bitcoin risk. He told RiskReversal a move toward the $40,000 range in 2026 is possible, pointing to BTC’s underperformance versus gold, breaks below key moving averages, and market chatter around quantum computing.

In 2025, decentralized exchanges processed over $1.2 trillion in monthly perpetual futures volume, with Hyperliquid maintaining the largest share across the year. According to Coinbase Institutional, weekly perp trading climbed from under $150 billion to more than $300 billion by September and October, while systematic leverage nearly reached 10% before October liquidations cut it to about 4%. Coinbase also highlighted rising interest in equity-based perpetuals that could offer 24/7, tokenized access to traditional stock markets.

On December 29, 2025, on-chain data from Glassnode indicated that Bitcoin wallets holding 1,000–10,000 BTC have been net accumulators as the price hovers in the $80k range, while holders with less than 1,000 BTC have been distributing. BTC traded at $87,738 and has ranged between $95k and $85k since the end of November.

Digital asset investment products saw $446 million exit last week, bringing total outflows since mid-October to $3.2 billion and leaving year-to-date inflows at $46.3 billion against a modest 10% rise in assets under management. CoinShares data show Bitcoin and Ethereum products lost $443 million and $59.5 million respectively, while XRP and Solana ETFs drew $70.2 million and $7.5 million in new money amid diverging regional flows and a consolidating Bitcoin price near $87,800.