Five charts show how the Iran war reshaped the U.S. economy from Feb. 27 onward
The extended Iran war is driving a sharp fuel shock: U.S. gasoline and diesel prices have surged, pushing CPI from 2.4% to 3.4% and lifting the 10-year Treasury yield toward 5%. The inflation impulse has already prompted a Fed rate hike and is tightening financial conditions via higher borrowing and mortgage costs. The setup is risk-negative for growth assets while keeping energy markets highly sensitive to war headlines.
Affected assets
NCCO1OILWTI2USD/USDT+1.71%
AI Insight · NCCO1OILWTI2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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After the United States and Israel went to war with Iran, average U.S. gasoline prices rose from just under $3 a gallon to about $4.50, while diesel jumped from $3.75 to a record $6.52. The surge has reignited inflation pressures and weighed on consumer sentiment. The share of respondents who said Donald Trump helped the economy fell to 26% in September from 35% in March.