Stocks Rise as June US CPI Cools to 3.5% and 10-Year Yield Drops 5.6 bp
Risk assets firmed after a softer-than-expected June US CPI pushed the 10-year Treasury yield lower, easing financial-conditions pressure and supporting equities. US banks added momentum with stronger-than-expected Q2 results, while semiconductors and cybersecurity rebounded. Offsetting factors include a sharp IBM-led software selloff and renewed US-Iran tensions lifting WTI, which raises event-risk premia and complicates the inflation narrative.
AI Insight · NCSISP5002USD/USDTAI Insight
▲ Bullish
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US June CPI rose 3.5% y/y, well below the 3.8% forecast, while core CPI cooled to 2.6%, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield down 5.6 basis points on the day. At the same time, an interim peace deal between the US and Iran broke down, with the US resuming a naval blockade and launching airstrikes as Iran attacked oil tankers on the southern route of the Strait of Hormuz, lifting WTI crude more than 1% to a one-month high. All three major stock indexes advanced, led by semiconductor and cybersecurity shares, while software stocks lagged after IBM’s earnings disappointed.