Nifty, Sensex seen opening flat as US-Iran tensions lift Brent crude toward $95 a barrel
Escalating US-Iran tensions have pushed Brent up ~8% toward $95, reviving concerns of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz and reinforcing an inflationary impulse. For India, higher crude is a headwind for equities and a risk to the rupee, partly offset by record FX reserves that provide policy buffer. Stronger-than-expected US payrolls keeps Fed policy uncertainty elevated, supporting rangebound risk sentiment.
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Brent crude rose about 8% last week, hovering near $95 a barrel as escalating U.S.-Iran tensions fueled worries about potential supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. India’s foreign-exchange reserves climbed to a record $740.8 billion as of August 28, giving the central bank a larger buffer to manage currency swings. In the U.S., August nonfarm payrolls increased by 1,62,000, keeping uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook in focus.