Polymarket odds of the Clarity Act becoming law in 2026 fall to a five-month low
Market odds for the Clarity Act—a U.S. bill aimed at establishing clearer rules for the cryptocurrency industry—slid to their lowest level since January 23, 206. On June 24, the probability of the bill reaching President Donald Trump’s desk for signature fell 24% in the past 24 hours to about 41% at press time, according to Polymarket data. The Polymarket contract dropped below its April 25 lows, even after the Senate Banking Committee advanced the bill in a 15–9 vote on May 14.