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The Age

Melbourne suburbs see home values fall by more than $100,000 in three months as some areas drop nearly 7%

AI Market Summary
Cotality data show sharp Q2 2026 declines in Melbourne's higher-end housing and unit markets, attributed to three RBA rate hikes, weaker consumer confidence, and May budget tightening of negative gearing and capital gains tax discounts. The report reinforces a slowing domestic demand backdrop and tighter financial conditions, raising sensitivity in interest-rate-exposed sectors and potentially weighing on Australia's macro sentiment and AUD risk appetite in the near term.
Impact level
● Low
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AI Insight · NCFXAUD2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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Several high-end Melbourne suburbs including Blackburn, Beaumaris and Mont Albert recorded a 6.9% fall in house values over the June quarter, with some areas shedding more than $100,000 in three months. Units fell more sharply in places such as Murrumbeena, where the median value dropped 7.1% since March. Cotality attributed the downturn to rate rises and May budget changes affecting negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount, alongside weak consumer confidence. Melbourne’s median property value stands at $808,486, well below Sydney’s $1,265,608, and the market was described as vulnerable.