Indian wheat prices climb over ₹150 a quintal after export ban is lifted on August 24

AI Market Summary
India's lift of a four-year wheat export ban has tightened domestic supply expectations, pushing local prices higher, even as FOB offers remain uncompetitive versus other origins. Globally, wheat is near multi-year highs amid Black Sea export disruptions and weather-driven production risks (El Niño), with forecasts pointing to lower future output and stocks. The policy change adds a marginal incremental export option and reinforces a supportive global grains backdrop.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
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▲ Bullish
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India’s domestic wheat prices rose by ₹150 per quintal after the government lifted its export ban. FOB wheat at Kandla is quoted at $325 a tonne, well above $295 a tonne or less from other origins. Wheat output this year is estimated at a record 120.66 million tonnes and government procurement has reached 36 million tonnes. Chicago Board of Trade wheat was quoted at $7.54 a bushel, or $277 a tonne.