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The Hindu Business Line

Global coffee prices jump 15.4% in July as Brazil weather risks lift Arabica

AI Market Summary
ICO data show July's global coffee benchmark up 15.4% m/m, led by Arabica amid Brazil weather concerns, a stronger El Niño outlook, and tighter deliverable Arabica supplies as US-certified stocks fell 30%. Higher ICE margin requirements likely amplified short-term volatility by constraining liquidity. The outlook raises risk of production disruptions in Asia and South America into late 2026–2027, keeping supply sensitivity elevated.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
NCCOCOFFEE2USD/USDT-1.21%
AI Insight · NCCOCOFFEE2USD/USDTAI Insight
▲ Bullish
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Global coffee prices climbed sharply in July, with the ICO Composite Indicator Price average up 15.4% month on month to 287.26 US cents a pound, according to the International Coffee Organisation. Colombian Milds and Brazilian Naturals led Arabica gains, rising 18.1% and 17.9%, respectively. In India, premiums for Robusta Parchment AB widened to $1300-$1500 per tonne. The ICO warned that weather factors including a strengthening El Niño outlook could affect upcoming crops in Asia and South America.
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