Micron’s 84%+ gross margin faces China’s CXMT push into DRAM supply chains
The piece frames China's CXMT as a growing threat in commodity DRAM amid AI-driven shortages pushing OEMs to consider alternative suppliers, potentially pressuring pricing in PCs and smartphones. However, U.S. export controls limiting ASML EUV access keep CXMT's DDR5 cost structure weaker and delay HBM scale-up, leaving Micron's high-margin AI memory position more structurally protected near term while longer-term China capacity expansion remains a risk.
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China’s DRAM maker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) is seeking to use an AI-driven memory shortage to win positions in global OEM supply chains, but U.S. restrictions that keep ASML EUV lithography tools out of China leave it with higher DDR5 costs and delayed progress in HBM. That dynamic limits its ability to dislodge Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix in the high-margin AI memory segment. Micron’s current high gross margin has structural support, but China’s expanding capacity could raise competitive pressure over the medium to long term.