UPDATE: US Q2 GDP Growth Slows to 1.5%, Undershoots Forecasts; June PCE Inflation Eases to 3.7%
AI Market Summary
US Q2 GDP slowed to 1.5% (below 2.0% consensus), while headline PCE held at 3.7% and core PCE eased to 3.3%. The mix of softer growth and cooling underlying inflation increases sensitivity to Fed policy expectations, typically pressuring real yields while supporting duration assets. Near-term, the USD and rates markets are likely to reprice as investors balance recession risk versus disinflation progress.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCSIDXY2USD/USDT-1.28%
AI Insight · NCSIDXY2USD/USDTAI Insight
● Neutral
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New US macro data point to a cooling growth backdrop alongside easing inflation pressures. Second-quarter GDP rose at a 1.5% annualized pace, down from 2.1% in Q1 and below the 2.0% consensus estimate. June PCE inflation matched expectations at 3.7%, while Core PCE slipped to 3.3%.