Reuters poll: More than 80% of economists see Fed lifting rates to 3.75%–4.00% in September
AI Market Summary
A Reuters survey shows economists have shifted toward expecting a Fed hike to 3.75%–4.00% in September, with a larger share also anticipating additional tightening through early 2027. This reprices the path of policy rates higher, pressuring risk assets and tightening financial conditions. Near-term market impact is most direct in front-end rates and USD strength, with broader spillovers to equities and crypto via higher discount rates.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCSIDXY2USD/USDT+0.62%
AI Insight · NCSIDXY2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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Huoxing Finance reports that a Reuters survey released on September 14 found most economists expect the Federal Reserve to raise the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00% on September 16. In the poll, 86 of 101 economists forecast a September hike. By comparison, a Reuters survey on September 9 showed 65 of 93 economists expected rates to stay unchanged in September.
Looking further out, 37 of 70 economists said they expect the Fed to raise rates at least twice more before the end of March 2027. In the September 9 survey, 21 of 82 economists shared that view. (Jinshi)
