Reuters poll: more than 80% of economists see Fed lifting rates to 3.75%–4.00% in September
AI Market Summary
A Reuters survey indicates economists have shifted decisively toward expecting a September Fed hike to 3.75%–4.00%, with a larger share now pricing additional tightening through March 2027. This repricing reinforces a higher-for-longer rates narrative, typically pressuring duration-sensitive assets and tightening financial conditions. In the near term, it can lift real yields and the USD, weighing on gold and broader risk appetite.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCCOGOLD2USD/USDT-1.57%
AI Insight · NCCOGOLD2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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BlockBeats reported on Sept. 14 that a Reuters survey showed 86 of 101 economists expect the Federal Reserve to raise the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16. In a Sept. 9 survey, 65 of 93 economists had expected the rate to stay unchanged in September. Separately, 37 of 70 economists now foresee at least two additional rate hikes by the end of March 2027, up from 21 of 82 in the Sept. 9 poll. (Jin10)
