ANZ: Philippines central bank may raise rates despite Fed uncertainty
AI Market Summary
ANZ expects the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas to raise rates 25bp to 5.0% at its August meeting as inflation remains well above the 3%–4% target despite recent moderation. The prospect of additional tightening reinforces a higher-for-longer global rate backdrop, supporting real yields and maintaining pressure on duration-sensitive assets. In the near term, this can weigh on non-yielding hedges such as gold and keep risk appetite cautious.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
NCCOGOLD2USD/USDT+2.02%
AI Insight · NCCOGOLD2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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ANZ expects Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to lift its policy rate by 25 basis points to 5.0% at its August meeting to rein in inflation that remains above target. While inflation has eased over the past three months, the July reading of 6.2% is still well above the central bank's 3%–4% target range. The BSP has already delivered two rate hikes this year, taking the benchmark rate to 4.75%.