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Finder survey: nearly half of economists see two RBA hikes before Christmas, cash rate tipped at 4.85%

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A Finder survey shows 90% of economists expect the RBA to hike 25bp to 4.6%, with nearly half anticipating a second hike before year-end to 4.85%, while markets also price two hikes by early 2027. Higher policy and mortgage rates tighten financial conditions, raise recession risk, and pressure rate-sensitive sectors. The repricing of the Australian rates path is the key near-term driver for AUD and local risk assets.
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AI تجزیاتی سمجھ · NCFXAUD2USD/USDTAI تجزیاتی سمجھ
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⚠️ AI سے تیار کردہ تجزیاتی سمجھ خبروں کے مواد پر مبنی ہے اور صرف معلوماتی مقاصد کے لیے فراہم کی گئی ہے۔ یہ سرمایہ کاری کا مشورہ نہیں ہے اور نہ ہی BingX کے خیالات کی نمائندگی کرتی ہے۔ سرمایہ کاری میں رسک شامل ہے۔ براہ کرم ذمہ داری سے ٹریڈ کریں۔
A Finder survey shows 90% of polled economists and finance experts expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.6% at its upcoming meeting. Nearly half also forecast a second hike before year-end, which would take the cash rate to 4.85%, the highest level since the peak of the 2008 global financial crisis. Markets are also pricing in two increases by early next year, with a 90% probability of a move to 4.6% on Tuesday.