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Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin Bull Market Is Underway, Eyes Return to $126,000
Arthur Hayes argues Bitcoin's bull market has already started and says a renewed surge in US dollar and Chinese yuan liquidity could lift BTC back to $126,000. In his May 12 essay "The Butterfly Touch," he links the next crypto upswing to macro credit expansion driven by AI infrastructure spending, military escalation, and a shift away from just-in-time supply chains. At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $80,680.
BTC
BTC-1.27%
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Kraken Opens CFTC-Regulated US Spot Crypto Margin Trading With Up to 10x Leverage
On May 13, 2026, Kraken introduced CFTC-regulated spot crypto margin trading for eligible US retail customers, expanding access to leverage on domestic regulated venues. The exchange said users can trade with up to 10x leverage by posting existing crypto as collateral rather than selling holdings, following Payward's recent acquisition of Bitnomial to bolster its US derivatives infrastructure.
USDC
USDC+0.01%
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Bitfinex: Bitcoin Rally Tied to Spot Demand Shift as U.S. Data Gets Priced In
Bitcoin's latest move higher is being attributed to stronger spot buying after demand indicators flipped from contraction to growth as markets processed U.S. economic data. BTC broke above $80,000 by early May, traded near $80,900 at publication time, and briefly approached $83,000 after clearing the $78,000–$79,000 supply zone. On-chain spot CVD jumped after May 8, while analysts say conviction buyers now hold roughly 4 million BTC.
BTC
BTC-1.27%
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NPR Details Campaign Staff Bets on Polymarket Using Internal Polls, Third Pattern
NPR reported May 7, 2026 that an anonymous campaign staffer said they and coworkers regularly bet on Polymarket using internal polling data before it became public, with winnings described as thousands of dollars per cycle. The report is NPR's third Polymarket-focused insider-trading pattern in three months, as lawmakers and regulators debate responses that largely target government offices rather than campaign staff.
BTC
BTC-1.27%
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