Technical Analysis

The Federal Reserve ended quantitative tightening on December 1 and immediately deployed a $13.5 billion overnight repo operation. Analysts view the liquidity shift as a potential catalyst for risk assets, though a possible Bank of Japan rate hike in December could temporarily moderate gains. The move marks the first significant liquidity injection since the withdrawal phase began in June 2022.

Bitcoin traded above $86,000 after recovering from a brief drop below $84,000 on Tuesday. The cryptocurrency faces potential upward movement toward $93,000 resistance, while the critical $83,000 support level remains intact. Options data shows 15% of traders expect BTC to fall below $80,000 by year-end, while 21% anticipate prices exceeding $100,000.

Strategy CEO Phong Le disclosed that the company could sell Bitcoin if its stock price falls below the net asset value of its cryptocurrency holdings and it cannot secure capital for preferred dividends. Bitcoin dropped below $85,000 amid the speculation. The firm revised its year-end BTC price forecast from $150,000 to a range of $85,000–$110,000.

The cryptocurrency market lost $160 billion in value as Bitcoin dropped 4.3% to $86,000, triggering $637 million in liquidations with long positions accounting for 90% of the total. Data show MicroStrategy's market-to-net-asset value fell to 0.97× on November 22, with investors effectively paying less than $1 for each $1 of Bitcoin held by the company.

Bitcoin fell 6.16% within six hours over the weekend, breaking below $90,000 as selling pressure intensified. The decline triggered $650.67 million in liquidations across the market, data show. Technical analysis identifies two critical liquidity zones at $83,300-$85,500 and around $95,000, with the overall trend remaining firmly bearish.

Bitcoin trades under pressure below $90,000 following a sharp decline, yet order flow data shows the most substantial hidden-buying divergence of the current market cycle. Analysis indicates significant accumulation by large participants despite weak price action. This imbalance suggests institutional demand persists even as retail sentiment turns bearish amid renewed concerns over China policy and Tether reserves.

Bitcoin trades below $85,000 as analysts examine the CVDD (Cumulative Value-Days Destroyed) indicator for possible support levels. The metric, which tracks long-term holder selling activity, points to a potential floor near $45,880 if bearish conditions extend into 2026. Bitcoin has declined over 30% from its recent all-time high established less than two months ago.

Bitcoin fell nearly 6% to trade around $85,000, extending losses from an October peak near $125,000. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index registered near 20, reflecting extreme fear as central bank communications tightened financial conditions. More than $637 million in long positions were liquidated during the decline.

Solana dropped over 10% in 24 hours to approximately $123, testing a multi-year ascending channel support level established since May 2022. Institutional ETF products recorded net inflows of 83,144 SOL ($10.5 million) in the past day, according to available data. The network maintained its lead in decentralized exchange volume at nearly $3 billion over the same period.

Binance users purchased 6,870 BTC valued at approximately $628 million when Bitcoin traded above $91,400, while long-term holders reduced positions, data show. Short-term holder realized cap hit $51 billion on November 23, the highest since December 2024, as long-term holder realized cap fell by $47 billion. The pattern has preceded market corrections in December 2024 and March 2024.