U.S. inflation picked up in August as gas prices surged, lifting core CPI by 0.3% month over month
August U.S. inflation re-accelerated on a sharp rise in gasoline and record diesel costs, lifting transport-sensitive categories and pushing core CPI up 0.3% m/m. Markets repriced tighter policy, with implied odds of a near-term Fed hike rising above 80% and 10-year Treasury yields near multi-year highs. The setup is risk-negative near term and supportive for USD via higher real-rate expectations.
AI Insight · NCSIDXY2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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U.S. inflation accelerated in August after a surge in gasoline prices, while core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, the biggest increase since April. Diesel prices hit record highs, raising transportation costs. Markets are pricing in a more than 80% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike, and the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a nearly three-year high.