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Trump to host Coinbase, Ripple and other crypto leaders as CLARITY Act passage odds fall to 10%

AI Market Summary
A White House meeting with major crypto firms and SEC/CFTC leadership highlights intensifying regulatory focus as the CLARITY Act's perceived passage odds fall sharply (Polymarket ~19% for 2026; Galaxy ~10% this year). Legislative uncertainty and agency reliance on stop-start rulemaking raise near-term compliance and market-structure risk. The CFTC's emergency action in the Kalshi dispute underscores a more assertive stance on prediction markets and jurisdictional conflicts.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
BTC/USDT+0.09%
AI Insight · BTC/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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Donald Trump is set to meet with crypto industry leaders including Coinbase and Ripple, with the SEC and CFTC chairs also expected to attend. Prediction-market pricing puts the CLARITY Act’s chances of being signed into law in 2026 at about 19%, down from an 82% peak on Feb. 19, while Galaxy Digital estimates just 10% odds of passage this year. Separately, the CFTC invoked emergency authority on Aug. 11 tied to the Kalshi dispute, drawing added attention to how regulators are acting under existing powers.
XRP
XRP-0.14%
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