South32 jumps 26% in three weeks to a four-year high after US$5.6 billion Alcoa deal
South32's multiweek rally is driven by better-than-guided FY26 production and the announced sale of its aluminium value chain to Alcoa for up to US$5.6bn, sharpening its pivot toward base and precious metals (notably copper). However, broker target prices are broadly flat versus spot after the run-up, suggesting near-term upside expectations are more muted despite constructive strategic repositioning.
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South32 shares have surged to a four-year high, rising 26% over the past three weeks after the miner agreed to sell its aluminium value chain to Alcoa in a deal worth up to US$5.6 billion. The stock is up 39% year-to-date and 66% over the past 12 months, while analysts’ average target price is broadly in line with the current level. Brokers tracked by Market Index mostly rate the shares a buy, though the consensus target sits around $4.94.