Six Polymarket Accounts Net Nearly $1.2M on Iran Strike Bets Before February 28, 2026 Attacks

Six anonymous Polymarket accounts collectively earned about $1.2 million by buying "Yes" shares on a market predicting a U.S. strike on Iran that would occur by February 28, 2026. Blockchain analytics firms later traced the freshly funded wallets, flagged them as suspected insiders, and the episode has fed into ongoing legal and regulatory battles over whether prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are regulated exchanges or unlawful gambling sites.