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Middle East crude exports rebound to about 98% of prewar levels as prices fall despite fourth Hormuz tanker hit

AI Market Summary
Despite a fourth tanker strike in the Strait of Hormuz, Middle East crude export flows have recovered to ~98% of prewar levels, easing immediate supply-disruption fears. The market is repricing geopolitical risk premia lower, pressuring crude benchmarks even as security headlines persist. Near-term sensitivity should remain elevated to further incidents, but the flow data reduces the urgency of scarcity-driven pricing.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCCO1OILBRENT2USD/USDT+0.38%
AI Insight · NCCO1OILBRENT2USD/USDTAI Insight
● Neutral
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A fourth tanker has been hit in recent days in the Strait of Hormuz, even as Middle East crude exports have recovered to about 98% of prewar levels. With concerns about supply disruptions easing, oil prices fell.