Saudi non-oil PMI rises to 53.3 in June as Kuwait slips to 46.4

AI Market Summary
A temporary US-Iran pause and resumed Hormuz shipping reduces near-term Middle East supply-risk premia, while no new evidence of disruption keeps the immediate oil balance stable. Saudi non-oil PMI strength signals resilient regional domestic demand, but Kuwait's contraction highlights lingering trade and confidence drag from tensions. India's $10B exploration push and diversification efforts are longer-dated supply-security themes rather than near-term output changes.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
NCCO1OILBRENT2USD/USDT-0.40%
AI Insight · NCCO1OILBRENT2USD/USDTAI Insight
● Neutral
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A temporary US-Iran ceasefire has eased shipping disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting India to accelerate deepwater oil and gas exploration. India plans to tender about 250,000 square kilometers of unexplored acreage and is backing a $10 billion exploration program. In the Gulf, Saudi Arabia’s non-oil PMI rose to 53.3, pointing to resilient domestic demand, while Kuwait’s PMI fell to 46.4, indicating continued pressure on demand from regional tensions and higher prices. There is no new evidence of oil supply interruptions, with developments instead reflecting reduced near-term risk and longer-term moves to diversify supply.