Euro zone inflation rises to 3.3% in August as markets price 25-bp ECB hike on Sept. 10

AI Market Summary
Euro zone headline inflation rose to 3.3% as energy inflation surged to 14.3% amid Iran-related supply and shipping disruptions, while core and services inflation cooled. Markets are pricing a near-certain 25 bp ECB hike on Sep 10, tightening euro-area financial conditions. The mix of energy-driven inflation and higher expected policy rates increases recession and credit-risk concerns, pressuring European risk assets and supporting the euro.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCFXEUR2CHF/USDT+0.27%
AI Insight · NCFXEUR2CHF/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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Euro zone inflation accelerated to 3.3% in August, the highest reading since September 2024, as energy prices surged 14.3% year on year amid the Iran conflict and shipping disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. Core inflation eased to 2.4% and services inflation cooled to 3.0%. Markets have priced a 98.9% chance of a 25-basis-point European Central Bank rate increase at its Sept. 10 meeting.