Dollar edges up after August CPI rises 0.4% as oil stays above $100 a barrel
A firmer August U.S. CPI print (0.4% m/m) modestly supports the dollar as markets increase the probability of a near-term Fed hike, lifting U.S. rate expectations. However, elevated oil prices above $100 amid Middle East escalation complicate the outlook by sustaining inflation risk while capping incremental USD gains. Separately, rising BOJ hike expectations are strengthening JPY, keeping FX volatility elevated.
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The dollar strengthened slightly against the euro and Swiss franc after U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4% in August, lifting expectations the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates next week. Gains were limited as escalating tensions in the Middle East kept oil above $100 per barrel and added to inflation concerns. The yen firmed on speculation the Bank of Japan may hike rates, underscoring persistent uncertainty around inflation and geopolitical risks.