Dollar holds near two-month high as US-Iran tensions lift Brent above $106 and hawkish Fed bets build

AI Market Summary
Escalating US-Iran tensions are lifting crude prices and reinforcing inflation risks, while markets price a more hawkish Fed ahead of key PCE and payrolls data. Higher long-end Treasury yields and increased rate-hike probabilities are supporting the dollar, pressuring EUR, GBP and JPY. Near-term positioning may favor USD strength and tighter financial conditions, with energy supply risk a key volatility driver.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCSIDXY2USD/USDT+0.04%
AI Insight · NCSIDXY2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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The dollar strengthened as rising US-Iran tensions pushed oil prices higher, with Brent crude futures back above $106 a barrel. Markets are looking to this week’s inflation data and central bank decisions for signals that could reinforce expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance. The dollar index is up 1.7% for September, its best monthly performance since June, while the euro, sterling and yen have broadly weakened versus the greenback.