Bitcoin tests 2007-era Treasury headwinds as crypto-backed lending shrinks by more than $22 billion
US 30-year Treasury yields broke above 5.3% for the first time since 2007, with real yields near ~3%, raising the opportunity cost for non-yielding assets like BTC even as softer data reduced perceived September Fed-cut odds. Separately, Galaxy estimates crypto-collateralized lending is down ~\u0022$22.5B\u0022 from the peak, signaling a smaller credit overhang but shifting risk toward faster-moving derivatives as open interest rebuilt.
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On Aug. 17, the US 30-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.314% and ended at 5.2954%, its first move above 5.3% since June 2007. A Galaxy report published the same day said crypto-collateralized lending has fallen by more than $22 billion from its peak. Despite softer economic data, traders cut the odds of a September Fed move to about 31% from 55% a week earlier while long-end yields continued to climb. Bitcoin traded as high as $64,610.01 intraday.