Big Tech’s off-balance-sheet AI commitments near $3 trillion, WSJ analysis finds
WSJ estimates Big Tech's off-balance-sheet AI commitments near $3T across nine firms, dominated by purchase commitments and unstarted leases. The scale (roughly triple reported leases/borrowings) raises concerns about hidden leverage, disclosure inconsistency, and future margin pressure as depreciation and lease costs come online. Near-term risk is a repricing of AI-exposed megacap equities as cash flow is weighed against committed spend.
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Off-balance-sheet obligations at nine tech companies including Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Oracle, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD and SpaceX are nearing $3 trillion, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis. The estimate is sharply higher than Nikkei’s July calculation of $1.65 trillion for five of those firms. The obligations largely reflect future spending commitments tied to data centers, chips and power that are not recorded as debt on balance sheets.