Wall Street cuts Coinbase Q2 earnings forecasts as trading volume seen at $152 billion
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Analysts are trimming Coinbase Q2 expectations as industry spot volumes and crypto prices stayed weak, implying downside risk to transaction-driven revenue and slightly lower-than-consensus adjusted EBITDA. Softer blockchain rewards and institutional activity add to near-term fundamental pressure, while investors may focus more on management's H2 outlook, cost control, and progress in subscriptions, derivatives, and prediction markets. Regulatory clarity remains a key swing factor for valuation.
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Wall Street has lowered its earnings expectations for Coinbase’s second quarter as the crypto market remained under pressure. Estimated quarterly trading volume is $152 billion, well below the market expectation of about $178 billion, and adjusted EBITDA is projected to come in roughly 3% under consensus due to weaker blockchain rewards and institutional trading revenue. The stock fell 1.7% to $165 during the session. The development reflects a shift in fundamentals for Coinbase as a single publicly listed stock and is not directly related to traditional, non-crypto assets.
