U.S. retail sales fall in July for first time in nine months, pointing to slower consumer spending
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July U.S. retail sales fell for the first time in nine months and undershot expectations, signaling cooling consumption as tax-refund support fades and softer gasoline prices weigh on nominal sales. Combined with recent labor-market weakening and subdued inflation, the data strengthens the case for the Fed to keep rates unchanged next month, likely pressuring U.S. yields and shifting near-term USD rate differentials.
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U.S. retail sales fell month on month in July for the first time in nearly nine months, with a larger decline than markets expected. Commerce Department data showed notable drops at nonstore retailers, in auto sales and at gasoline stations, as lower fuel prices and fading tax-refund effects weighed on spending. Food services posted modest gains, suggesting household finances remain relatively healthy. Combined with softer labor-market signals and subdued inflation, the report has led markets to expect the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady next month.
