Michigan judge keeps Kalshi sports contracts case in state court, bars offers to residents during litigation
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A Michigan judge kept the Kalshi sports-event contract case in state court and barred offerings to Michigan residents, challenging arguments that CFTC oversight preempts state gambling laws. The ruling, alongside denied injunctions for Polymarket and Robinhood, increases regulatory and compliance uncertainty for brokers integrating prediction markets. Near-term, it raises legal-risk premia and could slow rollout of sports-linked event contracts across additional states.
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A Michigan judge ruled that the state attorney general’s lawsuit challenging Kalshi’s sports event contracts must proceed in state court and barred the company from offering the contracts to Michigan residents while the case continues. The decision rejected Kalshi’s bid to move the dispute to federal court under the Commodity Exchange Act and questioned whether sports prediction contracts qualify as CFTC-regulated swaps. The same judge also denied preliminary injunction requests from Polymarket and Robinhood over similar contracts earlier in the month. The case underscores a growing clash between federal commodities oversight and state gambling enforcement, raising compliance pressure for brokerages and platforms expanding into prediction markets.
