RBA lifts benchmark rate to 4.6% as Bullock says inflation is being driven by multiple pressures
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Australia's RBA lifted the cash rate to 4.6% (15-year high) and signaled inflation is being driven by multiple forces, including energy shocks, imported costs, and residual demand pressures. The discussion highlights that disinflation may require prolonged demand restraint, keeping rates higher for longer. This backdrop can tighten domestic financial conditions and raise AUD rate-support, but also increases growth and credit-risk sensitivity near term.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised its benchmark rate to 4.6%, a 15-year high, with Governor Michele Bullock saying inflation is being pushed up by multiple pressures at once. Preliminary research by the progressive Centre for Policy Development suggests a temporary 0.5 percentage point increase in the super guarantee could pull about A$2 billion per quarter out of the economy, an effect similar to a 0.25 percentage point rate hike. The research also found administered prices contributed 7.2 percentage points of the 26.8% cumulative inflation between 2020 and 2026.
