U.S. consumer sentiment slips in August as inflation worries intensify

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U.S. consumer confidence fell to 51 (vs. 55.2 prior), with inflation expectations rising to 4.3% for the next year and 3.3% over 5–10 years, alongside the largest drop in retail sales in over a year. The mix of weakening demand and stickier inflation raises stagflation risk and complicates the rates outlook. Near-term, this can tighten financial conditions, supporting the dollar and pressuring risk assets.
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BlockBeats News: U.S. consumer confidence fell in August for the first time in three months, as households grew more uneasy about deteriorating business conditions and rising inflation. Preliminary results from the University of Michigan's Friday release showed the August consumer sentiment index at 51, down from July's final 55.2 and below the median economist estimate of 55. Inflation expectations edged higher. Consumers now see prices rising 4.3% over the next year, slightly above last month and well above levels seen before the Iran conflict erupted in February. Longer-term expectations also ticked up, with respondents projecting 3.3% average annual inflation over the next five to ten years. After improving for two straight months, both short- and long-term economic outlooks weakened. Views on the labor market have been broadly steady since the start of the year, with inflation concerns increasing even as worries about unemployment eased. The survey was conducted from July 28 to August 10, a period when the U.S. national average gasoline price stayed above $4 per gallon. Separately on Friday, data showed U.S. retail sales posted their steepest monthly drop in more than a year in July, reflecting cutbacks in vehicle purchases and online spending. (Jin10)