Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged as Three Officials Dissent for a Hike

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The Fed held rates at 3.5%–3.75% in a rare 9–3 decision, with three officials dissenting for a 25 bp hike, underscoring internal hawkish pressure amid sticky inflation and higher oil prices. Powell's comments were read as relatively dovish on near-term tightening, yet markets reacted risk-off: the Dow fell over 1,100 points while the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.228%, tightening financial conditions.
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Jinshi Data reported that the Federal Reserve voted 9-3 on July 30 local time to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%. Cleveland Fed President Hama, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Logan dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point increase. It was the first time since 2016 that three policymakers opposed the committee's decision in the same direction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said inflation cannot be brought down quickly through simple measures and noted that financial conditions have already tightened. With inflation running above target for a fifth consecutive year, oil prices rising amid conflict in Iran, and AI infrastructure investment lifting demand, hawkish voices within the Fed have grown louder. Markets largely read Powell's comments as dovish and pushed expectations for further rate hikes out. After the meeting, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 1,100 points, while the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to 5.228%, the highest since 2007.