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US troop presence tops 50,000 as Polymarket prices 71% odds of Iran entry by April 30
As of March 29, 2026, 5 p.m. ET, the Pentagon has surged more than 50,000 U.S. troops across the Middle East while drafting contingency options for limited ground raids inside Iran, but no U.S. forces have entered Iranian territory. Polymarket's "US forces enter Iran by?" market shows $49.6 million in volume, with odds at 71% for entry by April 30 and 78% by Dec. 31, 2026.