BlackRock expects only measured Federal Reserve rate reductions in 2026 as policy moves toward neutral. The December 2025 dot plot shows a median path from about 3.6 percent in 2025 to roughly 3.4 percent in 2026, implying one to two 25 bp cuts. The firm's baseline centers on 25–50 bp of easing, conditional on incoming data.

This week, regional Bitcoin flows split as US trading hours showed persistent net selling while Asian sessions captured most of the buying. At the same time, cycle charts indicated the current market phase still mirrors prior bull and consolidation patterns, and a Glassnode capitulation gauge shared by Gordon Gekko jumped to its highest level on record as price slid from above $110,000 toward $100,000 in late 2025.

On December 25, 2025, Blockstream CEO Adam Back argued that Bitcoin need not be redesigned to counter hypothetical quantum threats, saying Taproot's key tweak was recently proven post‑quantum secure. He suggested deprecating key‑path spends if CRQC ever emerged and criticized hash‑only formats, while BIP 360 advocates push stronger guarantees despite potential feature trade‑offs.

Finbold's analysis on December 25, 2025 highlighted OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) and Cosmos (ATOM) as candidates to revisit $1 billion market caps in 2026. TRUMP traded around $4.96, up 2.6% in 24 hours after a $24.8 million unlock on December 22, while ATOM climbed just over 3% to near a $966 million valuation following a THORChain beta on December 23.

Dogecoin fell about 1% to roughly $0.12 on Christmas Day and is on track to finish the year over 60% lower, while traders have shifted toward newer meme tokens. Technical analyst Alan Tardigrade highlights a recurring descending triangle and OBV pattern similar to 2024 that could send DOGE toward $1, even as charts suggest a possible slide to around $0.09 first. In parallel, the Pepenode presale has raised nearly $2.4 million for a mine-to-earn game that lets users deploy virtual mining rigs and compete for meme coin airdrops.

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has publicly rejected renewed claims that he sold ADA near its 2021 peak around $3, insisting he did not offload tokens during the rally. As ADA trades around $0.35 on Binance after a prolonged downtrend, traders are watching key support near $0.30 and resistance between $0.38 and $0.50 to gauge whether any rebound can develop into a sustained recovery.

Cardano's ADA fell 2.09% over the last 24 hours to $0.35 and was down 3.67% on the week, as trading stayed mixed during Christmas Day. Data showed $167,850 in long positions versus just $243 in shorts liquidated within an hour, creating a reported 66,530% imbalance while 24-hour volume dropped 22% to $380 million.

On Thursday, China's yuan moved through the ¥7-per-dollar mark for the first time since September 2024, with offshore trading at 6.9964 and the onshore rate closing at 7.0067. The currency has risen more than 3.8% this year alongside a stronger central bank fixing, while developer China Vanke faces renewed pressure as holders of a 3.7 billion yuan bond vote on repayment delay options. Analysts say the yuan remains weak relative to fundamentals, and Vanke continues to manage about $50 billion in interest-bearing debt as it negotiates with creditors.