On Feb. 20, the US Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump's emergency tariffs under IEEPA, putting more than $175 billion in potential refund exposure into play and leaving the refund process unclear. Bitcoin quickly fell almost 5% to around $64,000 as desks, facing uncertainty over cash flows and Customs collection mechanics, sold liquid assets to raise dollars and cut risk.

On 28 February 2026, former Mt. Gox CEO Mark Karpelès released a draft plan for a Bitcoin hard fork aimed at recovering 79,956 BTC tied to the 2011 exchange hack and held in the “1Feex” address. The proposal would redirect the coins, worth over $5.2 billion at current prices, into Japan’s court-led civil rehabilitation for Mt. Gox creditors, but has reignited debate over immutability, potential chain splits, and short-term downside risk for Bitcoin’s price.

On February 27, debate over Iran's role in Bitcoin mining intensified after an analyst claimed the country runs a heavily subsidized $1 billion operation that could be crippled by airstrikes. Some market participants warned a sustained attack on Iran's grid might erase its estimated 2%–5% share of global hashrate, while others argued that even a 5% drop would not disrupt Bitcoin's overall network stability.

Bitwise Europe's research head André Dragosch shared an analysis of Bitcoin's history from July 17, 2010 to Feb. 11, 2026, showing that holding BTC for at least three years historically left just a 0.70% chance of loss. Glassnode's realized-price data indicate three–five-year holders still sit near 90% gains despite a drawdown from the October 2025 peak.

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel says Bitcoin has shifted into a bearish phase after a breakdown below a long‑term support near $107,000. His weekly chart analysis maps Fibonacci retracement targets at $44,000 and $35,000 with a potential bottom in 2026; Bitcoin was $63,740, down 6% over the past 24 hours.

Materials from the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency describe how existing U.S. financial statutes are being applied to crypto custody, trading platforms, and payment stablecoins. Rather than creating new legal categories, these documents analyze custody through the Advisers Act and Investment Company Act, platform conduct through Exchange Act registration rules, and stablecoin issuance through OCC rulemaking under federal banking authority.

On February 27, TradingShot said on TradingView that Bitcoin’s five monthly red candles and the one‑month Fisher Transform outline a potential path back to $100,000, with timing pointing to a bottom near August 2026 and a target by early November 2027. Bitcoin later slid as much as 6% to around $65,500–$66,000 and was $63,935 at press time.

BlackRock has paused its recent Bitcoin selling and turned to steady accumulation, including a latest receipt of 4,082 BTC valued around $269.41 million. Over three sessions, net inflows reached 9,615 BTC, while Bitcoin fell 3.38% in the past 24 hours to $64,045 after briefly reclaiming $69,953. Market participants view the sustained inflows as long-term positioning.