On December 29, 2025, analyst Jack Inabinet reviewed ten major Polymarket contracts that reflect what prediction market users expect for 2026 across sports, politics, economics and climate. Bettors currently favor Spain to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the Los Angeles Rams to capture Super Bowl LX, and Spider-Man: Brand New Day to lead global box-office revenue, while also pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts and a relatively low 27% probability of a U.S. recession. Markets are also assigning measurable odds to a Netflix acquisition of Warner Bros. assets, changes in U.S. congressional control, record global temperatures, a Nobel Peace Prize awarded to the International Court of Justice, and a 16% chance of another impeachment of President Donald Trump by the end of 2026.

Crypto derivatives activity climbed in 2025 as traders shifted to onchain perpetual futures, according to Coinbase researcher David Duong. He said decentralized exchanges were processing over $1 trillion in monthly perp volume by late in the year, with leverage and the lack of an altcoin season drawing participants to perps rather than spot.

Bitcoin is trading near $87,255, slipping 0.33% on the day as price action compresses inside a symmetrical triangle around the $86,700–$87,000 support band. Key resistance sits near $90,200, with upside targets mapped toward $92,200 and the $94,500–$95,000 zone if a breakout occurs, while a drop below $86,500 would weaken the bullish structure.

On 29 December 2025, Bitcoin was reported to be in a fragile phase as on-chain metrics signaled stalling liquidity. According to Alphractal and CryptoQuant, exchange inflows of USDC and USDT fell from roughly $136 billion in early autumn to around $70 billion, indicating weaker deployable capital.

In Q4 2025, Solana-based meme coin launchpad Pump.fun reportedly moved nearly $615 million off-chain while generating about $74.1 million in quarterly revenue and roughly $935.6 million in lifetime revenue. Critics call the large transfers and near-100% gross margins a major extraction from users, while supporters argue the platform is simply a profitable business that users choose to engage with.

After a reported $3.9 million exploit of the Flow blockchain on Saturday, the Flow Foundation abandoned an earlier proposal to roll back the layer-1 chain following community criticism over decentralization and security. In an updated plan shared on Monday, Flow said affected accounts have been temporarily restricted, EVM operations set to read-only, and confirmed there will be no chain reorganization, while warning that full asset recovery remains uncertain.

On December 29 2025, China’s Supreme People’s Court used the sixth 2025 edition of its "Digital Rule of Law" journal to call for stronger legal frameworks for digital transactions and virtual assets. The publication reviews foreign approaches, including U.S. commercial law reforms, and proposes new categories such as "controllable electronic records" while China maintains a blanket ban on private cryptoassets and promotes the digital yuan. Recent moves since 2024 have also expanded anti-money laundering rules to virtual asset transactions, updated unfair competition law, and created internet courts to handle data and virtual property disputes.

After briefly climbing back above $90,000 following the Christmas weekend, Bitcoin has fallen below $87,000 as extreme negative sentiment eased into neutrality. Ethereum followed a similar pattern, with both assets consolidating in tightening ranges instead of extending their late-December rebound. Price action and positioning now suggest compression and uncertainty rather than a confirmed recovery trend.