Goldman Sachs Flags Bitcoin Bottom Risk, While LTH-NUPL Signal Stays Unconfirmed

Goldman Sachs analyst James Yaro wrote in a client note this week that Bitcoin's drawdown has roughly reached the cycle's historical peak-to-trough average, framing current levels as a selective entry point. On-chain tracking shows long-term holder profitability sliding from 58% to 3% over 142 days since the October 6, 2025 peak, while LTH-NUPL remains above zero. Price action from March 25–29 saw BTC fall from about $71,750 to near $65,500 before consolidating around $66,000–$67,000, as Bernstein reiterated a $150,000 year-end 2026 target.