Technical Analysis

According to on-chain data shared by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn on X, Bitcoin’s Exchange Whale Ratio 30-day simple moving average has climbed to 0.6 after a sharp rise during the latest price pullback. The ten largest deposit transactions now account for 60% of total exchange inflows, signaling that large holders may be exerting selling pressure while BTC trades near $68,400. The Bitcoin Inter-exchange Flow Pulse has also flipped back above its 90-day moving average, hinting at a recovery in derivatives-related activity.

On March 7, the crypto market turned lower again, with Bitcoin pulling back toward $68,000 after briefly approaching $73,000 earlier in the week. Ethereum is trading near $1,976 and XRP around $1.36, while over $302.75 million in leveraged positions have been liquidated in the past 24 hours. Rising oil prices, weak U.S. jobs data and forced liquidations are contributing to the latest wave of selling pressure across digital assets.

Bitcoin is attempting to reclaim the $70k zone after six consecutive weekly declines, with its first green weekly candle showing gains of over 7%. Derivatives open interest has climbed by nearly $4 billion to $46.8 billion, while a negative long/short ratio suggests growing short bias near resistance. At the same time, BlackRock has accumulated 4,172 BTC worth $303 million since 24 February, contributing to a total net inflow of $1.58 billion BTC and reinforcing $70k as a key accumulation area.

Bitcoin's jump to $74,050 on Thursday quickly attracted selling as short-term holders moved more than 27,000 BTC in profit to exchanges over the past 24 hours. On-chain metrics cited by CryptoQuant contributors show that investors who bought within the last one to four weeks, around a realized price near $68,000, are realizing gains instead of holding, adding fresh supply near the range highs. Separate analysis highlights repeated failed breakouts above resistance near $71,000, where recent deviations have been followed by sharp pullbacks.

Bitcoin is trading around the $70,000 mark after rebounding from late-February lows near $63,000 and briefly touching the $74,000 area. On-chain data cited by analyst Axel Adler shows a single-day outflow of about 31,900 BTC from exchanges on March 4, alongside roughly 47,700 BTC leaving platforms over seven days. Stablecoin netflows indicate that around $1.1 billion entered exchanges in early March before flipping to about -$37.5 million, suggesting capital was rapidly deployed into spot Bitcoin purchases and moved to long-term custody.

Over the past week, Aptos has repeatedly tested the psychological $1 resistance, climbing to a local peak of $1.11 on 25 February before pulling back by 22% in three days. Technical indicators on the daily and 4-hour charts, including a rising triangle and improved A/D and MFI readings, align with a 1‑month heatmap that shows clustered short liquidations between $1 and $1.12, suggesting a possible bullish breakout while traders remain cautious around this key level.

Bitcoin climbed to a one-month peak of $74,000 on Thursday, supported by renewed US buying interest reflected in a sharply higher Coinbase Bitcoin Premium. The move, which coincided with ETF inflows, quickly reversed as the price slipped back below $71,000 by Friday and CryptoQuant's Bull Score Index stayed at 10/100, signaling a continued bear market. Analysts also cited macro uncertainty and upcoming economic data as reasons any optimism remains constrained.

Bitcoin briefly traded above $73,000 over the past day, while multiple on-chain indicators from Swissblock and CryptoQuant suggest it may be transitioning out of peak negative momentum. Demand contraction has eased, US spot ETF inflows have turned positive, and selling pressure from both traders and long-term holders has declined, yet resistance zones around $79,000 and $90,000 still define whether this move becomes a lasting regime shift.

Bitcoin recently pushed above $70,000, prompting debate over whether the move signals a new major uptrend or just another step in a long-term bottoming phase. Analyst CrypFlow, in a technical study using multi‑year trendlines and the Stochastic RSI, argues that Bitcoin is forming a major cycle low along a trendline dating back to 2018 and retesting the former $69,000 resistance as support. Based on how long the Stochastic RSI historically stays below zero, the analyst suggests a double‑bottom structure into October 2026 could precede the next full‑scale bull run.

On March 6, 2026, Bitcoin faced renewed selling pressure from short-term holders who transferred 27,000 BTC, worth about $1.86 billion, to exchanges in profit. This wave of profit-taking was the largest since January 14, 2026, a period that preceded a 36% decline in BTC's price. Analysts point to worsening macro conditions, ETF outflows, falling open interest, and a new death cross between the 50 and 200 SMA as signals that Bitcoin may be entering the final downward phase of its current cycle unless it can reclaim the $94,000 level.