Technical Analysis

Recent on-chain and derivatives metrics indicated that Bitcoin's sell pressure has reached a three-year high, while spot ETF flows have remained negative. Analysts highlighted liquidation clusters around $83.5k and between $90k and $94.7k, with expectations of a possible BTC move down toward $82k followed by a bounce toward $95k linked to a large options expiry.

Analyst Steph said on X that XRP’s 3-week chart shows the Stochastic RSI at 0.00, a reading previously seen only at the 2022 bear‑market low. CryptoXLarge flagged $1.95 as a pivotal zone on the weekly chart, while ETF products have logged daily inflows since November 13 and hold over $1.1 billion, with XRP trading near $1.87 at the time of writing.

As 2025 enters its final week, DeepSeek AI released updated projections for XRP, Solana and Cardano through the end of 2026. The model flags a high-volatility phase and maps bull and bear paths: XRP's upside targets $4.50–$6.00 with a risk to $1.00, Solana's $275–$350 with $80–$95 downside, and Cardano's $0.85–$1.20 with a $0.25–$0.28 floor.

Bitcoin short sellers have strengthened their positions after a 23% Q4 price drop, while U.S. spot ETF demand and CME Open Interest have fallen to levels last seen in 2024. With basis trade yields dropping from near 10% in early 2025 to around 5%, traders are eyeing possible moves toward $80K on the downside and liquidations near $88K–$90,600 if price spikes.

Analysts say Solana remains capped below $127, with bulls defending around $123 as momentum wanes. According to the article, SOL ETFs logged about $1.4M in inflows on December 24, but traders are watching for a high‑volume break above $144 to confirm trend continuation.

In August 2025, the SEC announced a joint stipulation related to Ripple's case, which the summary frames as key context for XRP. For December 2026, ChatGPT outlines price zones: Bitcoin at a $150,000 base case with $190,000–$220,000 upside, XRP at $4.50 with $8–$12 in a bull case, and PEPENODE at 10x–25x from a $0.012112 baseline. The outlook references a 2025 spot ETF inflow estimate of $22.1 billion.

Ethereum is drawing liquidity as traders reduce Bitcoin exposure. Between 24 November and 8 December, ETH/BTC rose about 14%, per TradingView, and over the past 24 hours liquidations were nearly balanced at $67.42 million longs versus $64.53 million shorts. Derivatives data from Alphractal also show BTC perpetual activity dropping while ETH contracts hold near 17 million.

Bitcoin is currently trading between $87,700 and $88,000, about 30% below its all‑time high from October 2025. According to CryptoQuant analyst Woo Minkyu, the Combined Market Index has slipped below equilibrium with readings under 0.4, a pattern consistent with early bear phases. Sentiment is weak as CoinMarketCap’s Crypto Fear and Greed Index shows a reading of 28.

Bitcoin is trading in the mid-$87,000 range after another failed push through the $90,000 resistance area, with key support holding near $86,500. Analysts highlight thin holiday liquidity, softer on-chain activity, and a possible macro-driven rotation toward risk assets as factors that could shape the next attempt to reclaim $90,000.

Bitcoin trades slightly above $88,290 after a recent high above $126,000 in October, raising concerns about a deeper pullback. Analyst Ali Martinez compares past cycles—1,064 days from bottom to top and about 364 days back to a low—and infers a potential bottom around October 2026, with downside near $37,500 based on prior drawdowns.