Trading

Cryptocurrency analyst Miles Deutscher stated on December 4 that he assigns a 91.5% probability to Bitcoin having already reached its cycle low. His assessment draws on four factors: the market's resilient response to negative headlines, historical patterns during clusters of fear-driven news, a shift in capital flows from aggressive selling to stabilization, and improving global liquidity conditions.

Wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC accumulated 47,584 BTC in early December, reversing a two-month selloff of 113,070 BTC between October 12 and November 30, data show. The accumulation has stabilized price action. However, continued retail buying may limit upside momentum compared to previous accumulation-driven rallies when retail sold while whales accumulated.

Bitcoin dropped below $90,000 after more than $200 million in leveraged positions were liquidated over a four-hour period. The decline coincided with the expiry of $3.357 billion in BTC options at a max pain point of $91,000. Analysts indicate that failure to hold support at $84,000 could extend losses toward $76,000.

Bitcoin is testing the $100,000 level amid structural market pressure. The Growth Rate Difference metric has turned negative at -0.00095, showing market capitalization is declining faster than realized value, data show. The cryptocurrency traded near $92,000 at the time of analysis, with support zones identified between $85,000 and $87,000.

Bitcoin retreated to around $89,000 after dropping below $90,000, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remaining near 25. Major tokens posted losses, with BTC down 3.16%, ETH falling 3.45%, and SOL declining 5.69%. Market participants show limited conviction ahead of the typical year-end rally window.

Bitcoin dropped below $90,000 on December 5, 2025, trading near $89,200. Technical indicators show an RSI of 41 and negative MACD readings, pointing to sustained bearish momentum. Liquidations totaling $167 million—primarily long positions—have amplified selling pressure across the market.

Bitcoin declined sharply after economic growth warnings triggered a wave of liquidations in derivatives markets, producing an 11,588% imbalance between long and short positions. Long positions accounted for over $115 liquidated for every $1 in shorts, data show. The selloff followed remarks suggesting first-half growth would miss expectations, prompting rapid exits from leveraged positions.

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust recorded more than $2.7 billion in withdrawals across five consecutive weeks ending November 28, marking its longest outflow period since launching in January 2024. The fund, which manages over $71 billion in assets, logged an additional $113 million in redemptions on Thursday. Data show the outflows accelerated following a crypto market liquidation in early October that eliminated more than $1 trillion in digital asset value.

U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded $12.84 million in net inflows on December 5, extending their growth streak to 13 consecutive trading days. Cumulative inflows have reached $887.12 million since the mid-November launch, with the funds collectively holding more than 400 million tokens. XRP traded at $2.07, down more than 3% on the same day, despite the sustained institutional interest.

Bitcoin declined to $92,000 following a -32% drawdown from its all-time high, marking the steepest correction in the current cycle. On-chain data shows the P/L Score has remained in the -3 zone since November 6, a level historically associated with bearish market regimes and extended correction phases.