Bitcoin New Year Pattern Signals Potential 10% Gain in First Week of January 2025

According to Joao Wedson, founder and CEO of Alphractal, Bitcoin has historically shown a strong tendency to turn positive in early January, with the week after December 31 delivering at least a 10% gain in roughly two-thirds of past instances. His cycle analysis also highlights that the current halving cycle has seen around 100 weeks beginning with declines and identifies 2025 as the worst year on record for positive weekly starts. On-chain metrics from Axel Adler Junior further indicate limited selling by long-term holders, with the Long-Term Holder Distribution Pressure Index in the accumulation zone and a Z-score of -1.628.