Ali Martinez projects $50,000–$56,000 BTC drop by April 2026 on 100-week SMA signal

On February 3, on-chain analyst Ali Martinez said a bearish Bitcoin pattern has resurfaced after BTC rebounded 5.64% from a February 2 low near $74,000 to $78,173. He highlighted the 100-week SMA at $87,500 and described the 200-week SMA at $57,600, projecting a move toward $50,000–$56,000 by March or April, citing past 55%, 47%, and 58% declines.