Polymarket traders lift January U.S. shutdown probability to 77%, up 67% in 24 hours

According to Polymarket market data, bettors now assign a 77% chance the U.S. government will shut down before the end of January, a 67% jump over the past 24 hours. The shift followed remarks from President Donald Trump on Thursday and a Saturday warning from U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer about DHS funding, while the CLARITY Act’s path through Congress remains uncertain.