Technical Analysis

Bitcoin opened December 2024 under selling pressure, continuing a pattern observed throughout the year. Analyst Daan Crypto Trades found that approximately 80% of months in 2024 established their monthly high or low within the first 12 days. December has followed this trend with an immediate decline from the monthly open, leaving no upside wick.

Ethereum has dropped below $2,800 following a sharp decline, triggering widespread concern across the market. Open interest on Binance has collapsed by more than half over three months, according to a CryptoQuant report by Darkfost. After peaking at $12.6 billion on August 22, open interest has fallen to $6.2 billion, representing a 51% contraction and the elimination of nearly $6.4 billion in derivative positions.

Bitcoin may be nearing its cycle bottom following significant deleveraging and capitulation, according to Bitfinex Alpha. Entity-Adjusted Realised Losses have surpassed $400 million, exceeding levels recorded at previous market troughs. Reduced selling pressure indicates exhaustion among short-term holders, the analysis shows.

Bitcoin is testing the $93,000 level for the second time in under a week. Derivatives data show significant short-liquidation clusters forming between $92,500 and $94,000. The concentration of overleveraged short positions could trigger forced buying if upward momentum continues.

Bitcoin investors holding coins for over six months have reversed their supply trend, marking the first increase since April. The 6-month inactive supply recently turned upward after months of decline, according to Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards. This shift suggests a potential move toward stronger holding behavior across the network.

Bitcoin rose 6% to surpass $91,000 after Vanguard restored spot Bitcoin ETF access to its client base of over 50 million accounts. U.S. markets opened with more than $150 million in BTC bids, marking the strongest intraday surge since May 2025, data show. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas suggested the policy reversal could push Bitcoin toward $100,000 as 2026 approaches.

Dogecoin traded at approximately $0.136 with $1.3 billion in daily volume at press time. Technical analysts identified the asset entering Phase C of the Wyckoff Accumulation model, coinciding with a bullish MACD crossover on the 3-day chart. This pattern previously preceded upward price movements in April and July 2025.

Bitcoin reached an intraday high of $91,107 after falling below $84,000 earlier this week, data show. The recovery reversed losses triggered by hawkish Bank of Japan remarks and fresh Chinese regulatory actions. Institutional moves, including Vanguard's cryptocurrency ETF access and Bank of America's Bitcoin allocation policy, supported the rally.

Bitcoin rose above $91,000 on December 2, 2024, posting its largest single-day percentage gain since May. The rally forced liquidations of more than $300 million in short positions within 24 hours, CoinGlass data show. The advance followed a drop below $84,000 the previous day.

Early December trading revealed institutional anxiety centered on potential MSCI index changes rather than Bitcoin's price movement. Public companies holding significant BTC reserves face possible exclusion from global indexes due to balance sheet concentration. This structural uncertainty created more concern among professional asset managers than short-term price fluctuations.