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Hannah Collymore

Polymarket puts Rick Rieder ahead for Fed Chair at 49% as Warsh slips to 28%

On January 26, 2026, prediction markets made BlackRock's Rick Rieder the frontrunner for Federal Reserve Chair. According to Polymarket and Kalshi, Rieder is priced at 49–50%, ahead of Kevin Warsh at 28–30%. The choice rests with President Donald Trump, and Jerome Powell's current term ends in May.
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