Analysts see 10% DXY slide if March Fed cut; debt strains raise crypto risk

Analysts warn a March rate cut could knock the U.S. Dollar Index down another 10%, while the gauge is already off 1.4% in early 2026 and fell 9.4% in 2025. With inflation cooling on Truflation and implied odds for a March move rising to 21.2% from 9.4%, a weaker dollar may collide with debt-driven liquidity stress that has coincided with a 24% crypto drawdown this year.